Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 59% of Americans expect gas prices to rise over the next year amid Iran war

A new survey released Monday says most adults anticipate higher gasoline prices, reflecting ongoing disruptions in global energy markets as the United States continues military operations related to Iran.

2 min readEditor-approved Apex article

Most adults in the United States expect gasoline prices to worsen over the next year, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Monday that measured public expectations about household costs amid the continued conflict involving Iran.

The survey, conducted among 4,531 U.S. adults, found that 59 percent said gas prices will go up in the coming year, while the remainder expected prices to stay the same or decline. Reuters and Ipsos attributed the outlook to continued market turmoil linked to the Iran war.

The findings arrive as other polling has also shown Americans associating the Iran-related campaign with fuel costs. In March, Reuters reported on a Reuters/Ipsos poll that found most Americans expected gasoline prices to rise in coming months following U.S. strikes, citing concerns about global supply conditions.

The new Reuters/Ipsos results also fit into a broader pattern of public concern about inflation-linked expenses during the Iran-related conflict. A separate Pew Research Center survey in April found that nearly six weeks into the U.S. military campaign against Iran, higher gas prices were described as the top concern among Americans.

The Reuters report accompanying Monday’s poll also reported other cost-of-living measures. In a separate Reuters story dated June 8, Reuters said President Donald Trump’s approval rating remained near a record low and that only 22 percent of Americans approved of how Trump was managing the cost of living.

While polls capture perceptions rather than pricing forecasts, expectations about gas prices can influence consumer behavior and political debate around energy policy and military actions. Policymakers in Washington, including members of Congress and agencies overseeing energy markets, have limited direct control over near-term global oil pricing.

For now, the practical effect of the new survey is to underscore how Americans view gasoline as an immediate budget pressure tied to the Iran-related conflict, with transportation costs remaining one of the most visible components of day-to-day household spending.

Why It Matters

Gasoline price expectations are a widely used indicator of near-term consumer pressure, affecting household budgets and broader cost-of-living concerns.
Because the poll ties price expectations to the Iran-related conflict, it may shape how lawmakers weigh military objectives against domestic economic impacts.
The findings add to a multi-month pattern in public polling in which fuel prices have been a leading concern connected to the Iran war.

Sources

Key Facts

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Monday found 59 percent of U.S. adults expect gas prices to go up over the next year.
The Reuters/Ipsos survey included 4,531 respondents.
The report linked the public expectation to ongoing market disruption associated with the Iran war.
In April, Pew Research Center reported that higher gas prices were Americans’ top concern about the Iran war.
A separate Reuters story dated June 8 reported that only 22 percent of Americans approved of how Trump is managing the cost of living.