Susquehanna poll shows Abdul El-Sayed leading Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate race by 7 points

Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed is leading Republican nominee Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race, according to a new poll that The Hill reports was conducted for the campaign cycle’s final stretch of voter outreach. The survey, from Susquehanna Polling and Research, shows El-Sayed with 46 percent support among likely voters, compared with 39 percent for Rogers.

The topline results translate to a 7-point advantage for El-Sayed in the likely-voter matchup, The Hill said. The poll’s framing centers on the general election head-to-head after Michigan Democrats faced a competitive primary, which The Hill described as bitter.

The Hill reported the new numbers indicate potential consolidation among Democrats and other aligned voters following the primary fight. In the account, El-Sayed’s lead is presented as evidence that support may be consolidating behind the party’s general-election nominee after the nomination battle.

The survey’s results are part of the ongoing effort to gauge the durability of vote support in a race The Hill characterizes as closely watched and open. Because the seat is open rather than held by an incumbent, the poll’s likely-voter numbers are particularly scrutinized for what they could reveal about turnout and voter preferences in Michigan for the Senate term ahead.

The El-Sayed-Rogers contest remains a key test of statewide coalition strength for both parties, with The Hill describing the race as tightly contested. The new poll’s likely-voter figures show El-Sayed maintaining a double-digit share lead only in relative terms, with the gap standing at 7 points rather than a wider margin.

Neither the report summary nor additional official context in the provided packet specifies details such as methodology, sample size, or the date range of interviews. The Hill’s write-up focuses on the likely-voter result and the implication that Democratic voters may be rallying behind El-Sayed following the earlier primary conflict.

As both campaigns continue to court undecided and cross-over voters, the next public data points will likely include additional poll releases and turnout-oriented updates. Until further polls are released with comparable likely-voter screens and consistent methodology, the Susquehanna likely-voter topline provides one snapshot of how the electorate may be lining up for the general election.